As we have been writing for almost two years now, we expect the global economic recovery to be a slow process marked by occasional periods of extreme volatility. Our friends at PIMCO, the world’s largest bond manager, have named this “The New Normal.” The new normal is an economy that is in the process of...Read More
The second quarter can be best characterized by extreme volatility. Despite all of the volatility, our portfolios held up remarkably well, when compared to the market. Most of our portfolios were down in the 1% to 5% range compared to an almost 12% drop in the S&P 500 stock market index during the second quarter. We view...Read More
My son Steve and I recently spent a week in Chicago meeting and interviewing investment managers at The Sincere & Co. Annual Education Symposium and the annual Morningstar Conference for Investment Advisors. This trip gave us the opportunity to have lengthy meetings and several dinners with managers of funds we currently hold in our portfolios. Most...Read More
The first quarter of 2010 portfolio performance was very good, with U.S. stocks enjoying healthy gains. We’ve had a great run over the past five quarters, and investors looking back on strong returns deserve to feel good, especially given the level of nerve that was required to earn them in the aftermath of a very...Read More
It’s unavoidable! Day in and day out since the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009 we have been hearing and reading about the budget deficit, stimulus packages and repeated extensions of unemployment insurance. These programs are no longer expressed in millions or billions of dollars. In fact, they seem to have skipped the billion-dollar mark...Read More
“Markets climb a wall of worry” is an old saying about the stock market. And there has been plenty to be worried about over the past six months. The very foundation of our financial system has been shaken to its core by the sub-prime and credit crisis, which has in turn destabilized the entire global...Read More
Did you ever notice how some people spend all their time being miserable because they don’t like what they’re doing or because they’re unhappy about something in their lives? Have you noticed these same people taking out their frustrations on others? I’ve been studying this phenomenon over the past decade. I’ve been especially curious as...Read More
It’s been a while since we have seen the devastating market action that we have experienced these past few months. As advisors who council our clients to do the right thing, its very upsetting to see the value of our homes and portfolios depreciate as much as they have this past year. With the exception...Read More
